The Seattle Mariners are a prime example of what a difference a year could make. Seattle was on the brink of the franchise's first-ever World Series appearance last season with a Game 7 loss in the ALCS. Now, Kalshi’s MLB market lists manager Dan Wilson as the most likely manager to be fired this season at 80%.
Wilson’s price not only leads the board, but Kalshi has priced him at 60% or higher since mid-May. Kalshi grades this based on whether Wilson is fired or leaves the Mariners by December 1, 2026. A $10 trade on Wilson being out profits $2.32.
