Leeds United's 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park completed another Premier League game week and saw the Whites pick up another point towards securing their safety in the Premier League. With Everton losing to Liverpool on Sunday, Leeds increased the gap on the Toffees.
However, Burnley defeated Wolves at Turf Moor, giving them renewed confidence that they can beat the drop as they climbed out of the bottom three at Everton's expense. The data experts at FiveThirtyEight have updated their probabilities of relegation following the fixtures and - despite their tough final run of fixtures - Leeds are still predicted to be safe.
The Whites have been given an 18% probability of being relegated back to the Championship.
Read more: Jamie Carragher pinpoints Leeds United 'intensity' as Jesse Marsch's side claim away point
The website uses an algorithm based on a team strength rating called SPI, which is based on expected goals for and against as well as goals scored and conceded. 10,000 simulations are then run of each team's remaining fixtures, based on their ratings. That same algorithm predicts that Everton will be the team that drops out of the Premier League.
The Toffees have been given a 54% probability of relegation, despite playing similar opponents to Leeds in their final run and having a game-in-hand. The points gap between the two sides makes Everton's chances of overhauling Jesse Marsch's team unlikely, presuming the Whites don't fail to pick up anymore points in their run-in.
According to the algorithm, Leeds will take four points from the run-in and should end the season three points ahead of Everton, with 38 points to Everton's 35. Meanwhile, Burnley are expected to scrape to safety by a point.
They are given a 29% probability of relegation but this could change drastically if the Clarets don't manage to beat Watford on Saturday. As it stands, Leeds remain likely to stay in the Premier League.
However, points coming sooner rather than later in their run-in could be vital or the season could be set for the nerviest of finishes.
We want to hear your thoughts, so LOG IN and leave your comment below
