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The Conversation
The Conversation
Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

Labor gains in Resolve poll as DemosAU poll has One Nation winning 12 House seats

Labor expanded its national lead in a Resolve poll as a DemosAU MRP poll had One Nation winning 12 House seats. In Victoria, the Coalition has a 51–49 lead in a Resolve poll. As the SA Liberal leader resigned, a new poll gave Labor a 61–39 lead.

A national Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted December 2–7 from a sample of 1,800, gave Labor a 55–45 lead by respondent preferences, a two-point gain for Labor since the November Resolve poll.

Primary votes were 35% Labor (up two), 26% Coalition (down three), 14% One Nation (up two), 11% Greens (down one), 8% independents (up one) and 6% others (steady). By 2025 election preference flows, Labor would lead by above 56–44.

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