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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
National
Jonathan Barrett Senior business reporter

Inflation figures to ‘make or break’ the case for an Australian pre-election February rate cut

A rainbow arcs over a home under construction in Lake Macquarie, New South Wales.
Wednesday will provide a better picture on how the fight against inflation is shaping up, when the consumer price index for the December quarter is revealed. Photograph: Roni Bintang/Getty Images

Inflation figures due out on Wednesday could “make or break” the case for a pre-election rate cut next month, according to economists, in one of the most politically consequential set of numbers of recent times.

The market is pricing in an 84% chance of a 25 basis-point rate cut when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meets mid-next month, although those odds will rise or fall based on the December quarterly consumer price index.

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