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The Conversation
The Conversation
Joseph-Simon Goerlach, Assistant Professor, Bocconi University

How certainty helps immigrants integrate and contribute more to the local economy

What role does long-term certainty play in immigration policy? Asiandelight/Shutterstock

Imagine Ania, a Ukrainian immigrant who arrived in Berlin, Germany in the spring of 2022 with her teenage son. At the moment, the 2001 Temporary Protection Directive provides them with the reassurance that they can stay for one year. If Ania ends up staying longer term, however, her career and economic success will depend on choices she had to make in that first year – choices that were based on how long she expected to stay.

When the chances of staying in a host country are uncertain, why spend time and money learning the language? Why integrate? Why start to build a new life? Will Ania insist as vigorously on her son completing his homework in a foreign language and school system when she is unsure of how long she will be in the EU?

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