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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Patrick Wintour Diplomatic editor

How the UAE’s decision to leave Opec could recast the Middle East

Dubai's Creek Harbour, with the Burj Khalifa visible in the background
A moment of quiet at Dubai’s Creek Harbour earlier this month. The UAE has been hard hit by Iran and has privately pushed Gulf states for couterattacks. Photograph: Fadel Senna/AFP/Getty Images

The United Arab Emirates’ decision to walk out of Opec is a political as much as business decision, and will reignite the simmering rows between the UAE and Saudi Arabia – which had been covered up by their shared anger with Iran over its attacks on the Gulf states since the start of the US-Israel war on Tehran.

In the short term, leaving the oil producing cartel it joined in 1967 gives the UAE the freedom to respond quickly to a long-term prospect of constrained supplies, and to maximise profit. But it is a decision the UAE has considered before, as UAE and Saudi tensions over production quotas have been longstanding.

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