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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Phil Harrison

ESPN Playoff Predictor updates top teams chances of making the College Football Playoff. Where is Ohio State?

We are on the doorstep of a couple of very important weeks in the 2023 college football season. There’s just two weeks of regular season games left, then the conference championship games before we get some tasty bowl and College Football Playoff matchups.

And while we are one week away from a very big week, there’s still five Power Five teams sitting as unbeatens. Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, Florida State and Washington who all seemingly control their own destinies and have the inside track on making that four-team playoff. Behind them, teams like Oregon, Texas, and Alabama are ready to pounce should any above them stumble.

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But that’s bound to change as we head down the stretch with some head-to-head matchups and quality opponents coming up.

We like to follow ESPN to see what its “Playoff Predictor” says about the teams that have the best change to get into all of the fun, and that model has been updated heading into Week 12. Of course, we’re interested in where Ohio State lands, but we’ve also got our attention focused on the other teams that could impact the Buckeyes’ chances of making the very last, four-team version of the College Football Playoff.

Here’s a look at the teams that have the best chance of making the CFP and where Ohio State lands as we enter the home stretch in Week 12. We count down the top 10 teams from the least to greatest chance of heading to New Orleans or Pasadena.

10
Oregon State Beavers (8-2)

USA TODAY SMG

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

1% – Last Week (N/A)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 vs. Washington
11/25 at Oregon

9
Louisville Cardinals (9-1)

Jamie Rhodes-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

2% (no change from last week)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 at Miami (FL)
11/25 vs. Kentucky

8
Washington Huskies (10-0)

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

24% (down from 31% last week)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 at Oregon State
11/24 vs. Washington State

7
Texas Longhorns (9-1)

USA TODAY SMG

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

26% (down from 40% last week)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 at Iowa State
11/24 vs. Texas Tech

6
Alabama Crimson Tide (9-1)

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

28% (down from 41% last week)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 vs. Chattanooga
11/25 at Auburn

5
Oregon Ducks (9-1)

Christopher Creveling-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

52% (up from 38% last week)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 at Arizona State
11/24 vs. Oregon State

4
Michigan Wolverines (10-0)

David Reginek-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

63% (up from 43% last week)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 at Maryland
11/25 vs. Ohio State

3
Ohio State Buckeyes (10-0)

USA TODAY SMG

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

67% (down from 77% last week)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 vs. Minnesota
11/25 at Michigan

2
Georgia Bulldogs (10-0)

Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

68% (up from 41%)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 vs. Chattanooga
11/25 at Auburn

1
Florida State Seminoles (10-0)

(Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

ESPN Playoff Predictor Chances

69% (up from 62% last week)

Remaining Schedule

Date Opponent
11/18 vs. North Alabama
11/25 at Florida

Contact/Follow us @BuckeyesWire on X (formerly Twitter), and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Ohio State news, notes, and opinion. Follow Phil Harrison on X.

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