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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Environment
Jonathan Watts

El Niño may peak at the worst time for the Amazon – and it should worry us all

Fires burn along the Trans-Amazonian highway near the Aripuana national forest in the state of Amazonas, Brazil, in 2021.
Fires burn along the Trans-Amazonian highway near the Aripuana national forest in the state of Amazonas, Brazil, in 2021. Photograph: Lynsey Addario/Getty Images

As a supercharged climate scorches Europe with wildfire and deluges Asia with floods, the Amazon is bracing for a drought that strikes fear into the hearts of forest defenders and food producers alike. But it should worry even more of us.

Scientists are predicting that the peak of El Niño will occur at the worst possible time for the world’s biggest tropical rainforest: the end of the dry season between October and December, when rivers are at their lowest and undergrowth is most likely to be tinder dry. This will be a period of extreme vulnerability for the forest, which plays a globally important role in stabilising the climate and irrigating crops.

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