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Rich Asplund

Dollar Gains Ground as CPI Report Produces Higher Odds for a Fed Rate Hike

United States US Federal Reserve ECB Oil BOJ Gold Euro PBOC

The dollar index (DXY00) on Friday rose by +0.06%. The dollar found support as a hawkish US CPI report pushed odds of an FOMC rate hike next week up to 88% from 75% on Thursday. Also, the 10-year T-note yield on Friday rose by +0.6 bp, supporting the dollar’s interest rate differentials.

Friday’s -2.4% decline in oil prices initially caused the 10-year T-note yield to drop, despite the CPI report. However, the CPI report caught up with the T-note market by the end of the day, and the 10-year T-note yield ended slightly higher.

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