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Barchart
Barchart
Rich Asplund

Dollar Declines on Soft US Labor Market News

The dollar index (DXY00) on Wednesday fell by -0.50% and posted a 5-week low.  The dollar was undercut by Wednesday’s weak Nov ADP report, which was dovish for Fed policy and cemented expectations for a Fed rate cut at next week’s FOMC meeting. The dollar failed to find support from Wednesday’s Nov ISM services index, which unexpectedly rose to a 9-month high. 

President Trump said on Tuesday that he will announce his selection for the new Fed Chair in early 2026.  Bloomberg reported last week that National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett is seen as the likely choice to succeed Powell.  Hassett’s nomination would be bearish for the dollar as he is seen as the most dovish candidate.  In addition, Fed independence would come into question, as Hassett supports President Trump’s approach to cutting interest rates at the Fed.

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