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Fortune
Fortune
Ashley Lutz

Centene stock uncertainty as ACA subsidy expiration looms: What investors need to know about rising medical costs and 2026 Marketplace risk

(Credit: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Centene‘s stock has experienced a significant decline—more than 42% in the past six months—primarily due to the withdrawal of its 2025 financial guidance following some troubling developments in its core health insurance business.

Centene’s recent stock drop is closely linked to a combination of higher-than-expected medical costs amid challenging trends in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) market and anticipation of the scheduled end to enhanced ACA subsidies at the end of 2025. While shares jumped earlier this week after Centene affirmed its guidance, which was higher than analysts’ estimates, it faces an uncertain road ahead.

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