Manchester United's knockout campaign begins tonight with a clash of two of the world's biggest clubs as they travel to the Nou Camp to face Barcelona.
Erik ten Hag has brought a sense that trophies are a very real prospect this season and winning a European tie against an illustrious opponent will help underline that view. While Barcelona's Champions League elimination suggests that they are not quite the force of old, Xavi's side currently top La Liga and will pose a tough test.
But despite the understandable confidence United fans will take into the match, United have only been given a slim chance of emerging victorious in the first leg. ABC News statisticians FiveThirtyEight have given United just a 19 per cent percentage of winning the first leg against Barca, whose La Liga performances hand them a strong weighting in the algorithm.
