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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Larry Elliott Economics editor

Another UK interest rate rise was always nailed on but what happens next?

a woman shops in a supermarket
The Bank of England is only too aware that roughly only a third of the 12 rate rises in this cycle have been felt by households and businesses. Photograph: Andy Rain/EPA

Much has changed since the Bank of England predicted the economy would shrink for eight successive quarters last November. Threadneedle Street now thinks growth will be stronger, inflation higher and unemployment lower than it expected six months ago. It is no longer forecasting even a single quarter of negative growth, even allowing for strikes and the extra bank holiday for the king’s coronation.

One thing that has not changed is the relentless upward movement in interest rates, which the Bank’s monetary policy committee (MPC) has just raised for a 12th successive time. This is comfortably a record. Previously it had never raised borrowing costs more than three times in a row.

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