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The Latest Breaking News from Robin Brooks

U.S. naval blockade on Iran will trigger a currency devaluation spiral and hyperinflation, potentially ending the war more quickly, analyst says

“Leaning on this money machine sends the economy into a tailspin, giving the mullahs much needed motivation to negotiate in earnest.”

Fortune

Here’s how a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could work. ‘This is a big task, and it’s a big gamble’

“It puts economic pressure on Tehran without destroying the oil facilities, which you should want to preserve into the future.”

Fortune

As Trump eyes climactic battle for Hormuz, he could give Iran a 'taste of their own medicine' with a naval blockade that implodes the economy

"That might open up the Strait of Hormuz a lot faster than anything else."

Fortune

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Investors are buying America again with no other choice

The dollar has risen in value against other currencies since the Iran war began.

Axios

Trump thinks a weaker dollar is great, but the U.S. needs a stable currency as national debt heads toward $40 trillion, former Fed president says

"And when you have that much debt, I think stability of the currency probably trumps exports."

Fortune

Silver prices continue soaring as debt fears and geopolitical tensions send precious metals to fresh record highs

So far this year, silver has spiked 169%, platinum has shot up 172%, and palladium has soared 124%.

Fortune

After a 20% Drop, Are Gold And Silver Miners Finally Cheap?

Gold and silver miners are taking a breather after an explosive 2025 rally, and the sharp pullback has retail traders and institutional investors alike wondering whether this is just a healthy correction — or the end of the road.

Benzinga

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Don't Call It A Bubble: Why Gold's Rally Has Deep, Structural Support

After a dazzling rally that pushed gold prices to a record $4,378 per ounce earlier this month, the yellow metal has dipped back to $4,100—to some, a warning sign, but to others, a setup for what could be the next leg in a powerful, fundamentally driven uptrend.

Benzinga

China’s rare earth controls can ‘forbid any country on Earth from participating in the modern economy,’ former White House advisor warns

“They can do this because they diligently built industrial capacity no one else had the fortitude to build.”

Fortune

Wall Street Expects Trump's 'Massive' Tariff Hike Threat Against China To Hurt US More, Says Expert: 'Dollar Is Not Looking Healthy'

President Donald Trump's "massive" tariff hike threat against China on Friday is seen as hurting the U.S. more.

Benzinga

Markets expect Trump's latest China tariffs will backfire as gold jumps and the dollar 'is not looking healthy'

"This is now the second instance where markets are trading tariffs as backfiring on the US, not on the rest of the world."

Fortune

Markets have been acting 'super weird' lately. Just look at gold prices vs. the dollar and bonds

"The fact that the 30-year Treasury yield didn’t fall immediately is weird and worrying. It took very weak payrolls to finally do that."

Fortune

Dollar 'Fall Is Over' Says Expert As USD Has Been 'Unchanged' For 5 Months Amid Negative Consensus

Despite a prevailing “Dollar negative” sentiment among market analysts, the U.S. Dollar Index has remained remarkably stable for the past five months, leading one prominent expert to declare, “the Dollar fall is over.” This assertion challenges the consensus view, which often overlooks periods of consolidation in favor of narrative-driven predictions.

Benzinga

Trump could trigger a financial crisis in Russia—if he wants to—but has backed off from his threat of ‘very severe consequences’

“Trump can squeeze the Russians; he seems to forget that the United States holds the cards, not Moscow.”

Fortune

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Fortune

You’re welcome, world: U.S. tariffs may cool inflation for the rest of the global economy

“We doubt that U.S. tariffs will significantly affect inflation in the rest of the world, but if anything, the effect could be mildly disinflationary.”

International Business Times

Trump Targets Tariff Evasion, With Eye On China

As the United States ramps up tariffs on major trading partners globally, President Donald Trump is also disrupting strategies that could be used -- by Chinese companies or others -- to circumvent them.

Fortune

'US exceptionalism roars back' as markets defy doomsayers and draw record foreign inflows after panic over Trump tariffs

"The hurdle for the US to experience genuine capital flight is high and certainly wasn’t breached in April."

International Business Times

US Targets Attempts To Dodge Trump Tariffs With China In Crosshairs

As President Donald Trump ramps up tariff threats on US trading partners, his administration is taking aim at a tactic said to be used by Chinese companies to dodge the levies by moving goods through third countries.

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Benzinga

How Have Markets Reacted To Past US Tariff Hikes? Insights As Trump's Trade Threats Spurs Global Jitters

History shows that higher tariffs have been painful for the stock markets to digest, but President-elect Donald Trump's stand on increasing the tariffs seems undeterred, while some analysts call it a negotiating tool, others think that combining it with tax cuts could be good for the economy.

Fortune

Trump’s Treasury pick leaves investors hopeful that he’ll take the sting out of ‘America First’ trade policies

Donald Trump will nominate Scott Bessent to replace Janet Yellen as Treasury secretary, with markets buoyed by comments on tariffs.

The Guardian - UK

IMF plan to visit Russia to assess economy prompts dismay across Europe

Protest letter sent to fund’s head over move to send staff to Moscow for first review since invasion of Ukraine

The Guardian - AU

‘Sanctions hole’: how secretive routes supply Russia with western tech and consumer goods

German exports of cars to Kyrgyzstan are up 5,100% since the start of the Ukraine war – with other routes channelling luxury goods and computer chips

Zenger

Armenia Faces Scrutiny Over Surge In EU Imports Amid Sanctions Concerns

Armenia's trade surge from EU raises suspicions of sanctions circumvention, drawing attention from US Treasury and analysts.

The Independent UK

Russia earns less from oil and spends more on war. So far, sanctions are working like a slow poison

The Russian currency has stabilized after dipping below 100 rubles to the U.S. dollar — but that doesn't mean the pressure is off Russia's economy

Fortune

Billions of dollars are flowing out of Chinese markets in a ‘seismic’ change in capital flows despite a flurry of actions to shore up confidence

“China has now seen consistent and large outflows for the past 18 months, as investors grow wary of autocracies,” IIF chief economist Robin Brooks wrote in a Sunday post.

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