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The Latest Breaking News from Peter Turchin

America got rich and got sad. A top economist says 2020 broke something that hasn't healed

It's not a mystery why everyone got sad in 2020. What is: the fact they never recovered. Sam Peltzman sees a "segregated happiness society."

Fortune

‘Downward mobility is incredibly radicalizing’: The college bargain is broken. What comes next could reshape America

“Creative, brilliant people are going to wake up this decade and realize the jobs that they thought they were going to have ... are gone.”

Fortune

Top economist Brad DeLong to recent college grads: Don't blame AI for job struggles—blame the sputtering economy

"For the longer-run, the rise in the college wage premium is over, and a decline has (probably) begun," the Berkeley economist writes.

Fortune

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Delta's struggles with the airport lounge and the angst of the upper middle class in the age of 'elite overproduction,' explained

Peter Turchin argues that societies collapse when there isn't enough room at the top. "There is a limited amount of space, but many more elites now ... low-rank elites.

Fortune

The death of the middle-class professional spells danger for Labour

Graduate pay is falling – and an aggrieved generation could join white-collar workers in supporting Reform UK, says Guardian columnist Gaby Hinsliff

The Guardian - UK

Why she lost — and what we do now

Anti-incumbency fervor, populist rage and elite disconnection — all facets of the same global democratic crisis

Salon

An excess of billionaires is destabilising politics – just as academics predicted

Politicians have always courted the wealthy, but Elon Musk and co represent a new kind of donor, and an unprecedented danger to democracy, writes Guardian columnist Zoe Williams

The Guardian - UK

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Best ideas books of 2023

From psychology to AI, pandemics to popular culture, we survey the bigger picture

The Guardian - UK

From Piketty’s Capital to Hawking’s The Theory of Everything: can one book explain it all?

Millennia-spanning takes on history, evolution and economics are booming. But who buys these ‘grand theory’ books? And do they actually read them?

The Guardian - UK

More public investment, not less, could lift advanced economies out of their malaise

Western nations are caught in a low-growth trap, with tricky political choices to make – but there is a way out

The Guardian - UK

Civilizations collapse: Are we next?

Peter Turchin's theory of history helps explain that we're in big trouble — but it's not too late to change course

Salon

Finding hope in "End Times"

Peter Turchin's data-driven analysis of our historical peril is compelling — and it's also a call to action

Salon

Last chance to avoid the "End Times"

Peter Turchin predicted major instability in the 2020s. Unless we address inequality, he says, it will get worse

Salon

How to avoid a civil war, by the man who predicted Trump

Across the west, popular misery and ‘elite overproduction’ are fuelling crisis, argues data-driven historian Peter Turchin. So what can we do to turn things around?

The Guardian - UK

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The Guardian - UK

End Times by Peter Turchin review – can we predict the collapse of societies?

By examining history through complex mathematics, the ‘collapsologist’ aims to show – somewhat persuasively – that there are cyclical trends in the narratives of human hope and failure

Salon

Will young people save US democracy?

Unlike past generations, younger voters are not growing more conservative with age

People

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