What is a recession, and is it tied to stock market declines? Trump’s tariffs prompt market drops, recession fears, and worries of accompanying inflation this time. Al Jazeera · Apr 8, 2025
OPINION - Is Rishi Sunak about to call a general election? In a 1966 article for Newsweek, the American economist Paul Samuelson famously quipped that "the stock market had predicted nine out of the last five recessions." He was of course exaggerating but nevertheless had a point: Wall Street is simply dreadful at forecasting the future. Evening Standard · May 22, 2024
From Oppenheimer to Milton Friedman: how the Cold War battle of economic ideas shaped our world Is Oppenheimer a movie for our time, reminding us of the tensions, dangers and conflicts of the old Cold War while a new one threatens to break out? The Conversation · Aug 9, 2023
Spotting early-stage baldness is a predictive power I’m proud of In A 1966 article for Newsweek, the Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Samuelson remarked that the stock market had forecast “nine of the past five recessions”. I like to think my record is somewhat less patchy, but alas I’m not referring to negative growth. At least, not of the economic variety.… Evening Standard · May 6, 2022