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The Latest Breaking News from Newspoll

NSW premier says 2023 poll will be close

NSW Premier Dominic Perrottet says the next state election will be "very close" and is playing up his track record on natural disasters and the pandemic.

AAP

Labor in lead six months from NSW election

Six months out from an election, Labor has taken the lead as preferred government in NSW after a prolonged stalemate and a turbulent week for the party.

AAP

Dutton's high-wire act: holding the Coalition together while presenting as an alternative government

When the Liberal Party’s most senior right-wing figure, Peter Dutton, forced a leadership spill in 2018, ending Malcolm Turnbull’s premiership, even some moderates in the party room preferred him over the hyper-ambitious Scott Morrison. Yet it was to the latter they reluctantly turned, judging him less frightening to voters.

The Conversation

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Labor extends big lead in Newspoll, but Morgan is much better for Coalition

This week’s Newspoll is the second since the May federal election, after the first appeared five weeks ago. Labor led by 57-43, a one point gain for Labor. Primary votes were 37% Labor (steady), 31% Coalition (down two), 13% Greens (up one), 7% One Nation (up one), 2% UAP (steady)…

The Conversation

Coalition support at record low: Newspoll

The federal coalition's support is at its equal lowest level on record and leader Peter Dutton's support has also fallen further, Newspoll suggests.

AAP

Coalition hits record low as Labor extends lead to 57-43 in latest Newspoll

Support for the Peter Dutton-led Coalition is at its lowest point since 2008 having fallen again since the May 21 election in the latest Newspoll.

The New Daily

Victorian Newspoll gives Labor big lead three months before election

The Victorian election will be held in three months, on November 26. A Victorian state Newspoll, conducted August 22-25 from a sample of 1,027, gave Labor a 56-44 lead (57.3-42.7 at the 2018 election). Primary votes were 41% Labor (42.9% at election), 36% Coalition (35.2%), 13% Greens (10.7%) and 10%…

The Conversation

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Andrews on track for third term: Newspoll

The latest Newspoll by The Australian suggests Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews would be returned to government for a third term.

AAP

First Newspoll since election gives Albanese 'honeymoon' ratings; Australia's poor success rate at referendums

The first Newspoll since the May federal election, conducted July 27-30 from a sample of 1,508, gave Labor a 56-44 lead (52.1-47.9 to Labor at the election). Primary votes were 37% Labor (32.6% at election), 33% Coalition (35.7%), 12% Greens (12.2%), 6% One Nation (5.0%), 2% UAP (4.1%) and 10%…

The Conversation

Morrison fronts parliament for first time

The first Newspoll since the election of the Labor government holds good news for Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, as Scott Morrison takes a backbench seat.

AAP

Popular PM Anthony Albanese lifts Labor to 56-44 lead in latest Newspoll

Anthony Albanese has recorded the highest satisfaction rating for an incoming Prime Minister in the first post-election Newspoll released on Sunday night.

The New Daily

How did the polls perform in the 2022 election? Better, but not great; also a Senate update

At the May 21 federal election, Labor won 77 of the 151 House of Representatives seats (up eight since 2019 when adjusted for redistributions), the Coalition won 58 seats (down 18), the Greens four (up three) and all Others 12 (up seven).

The Conversation

Australians vote to determine conservative government future

Polling stations have opened across eastern Australia as voters decide whether Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s conservative government will defy odds and rule for a fourth three-year term

The Independent UK

Let’s face it – we’re addicted to polls, even if they’ve got things so wrong in the past

CAMPAIGN DIARY: Dennis Atkins lays out a guide to what the polls have told us and what we might learn in the last hours of this exhausting campaign.

The New Daily

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The Conversation

Newspoll and Ipsos both give Labor clear leads in final polls; counting of early votes

The federal election is on Saturday. Polls close at 6pm local time; that means 6pm AEST in the eastern states, 6:30pm in SA and the NT and 8pm in WA. 124 of the 151 House of Representatives seats are in the eastern time zone, 12 combined in SA and the…

The Conversation

Labor's lead narrows in three new national polls; and seat polls galore

The final Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted May 12-17 from a sample of 2,049, gave Labor just a 52-48 lead by 2019 election preferences, a two-point gain for the Coalition since last fortnight’s Resolve. By respondent preferences, Labor’s lead was narrower at 51-49, a three-point gain for the Coalition.

The Conversation

Labor retains large Newspoll lead but Albanese's ratings fall; special poll gives Labor clear House majority

A Newspoll, conducted May 10-13 from a sample of 1,532, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, unchanged from the previous week’s Newspoll. Primary votes were 38% Labor (down one), 35% Coalition (steady), 11% Greens (steady), 6% One Nation (up one), 3% UAP (down one) and 7% all Others (up one).

Reuters

Analysis-Hero to hindrance: Australia PM Morrison hurts party's election hopes

Three years ago, Scott Morrison's ebullient personality as the little known and newly installed leader of Australia's Liberal Party was a big factor in its unexpected election victory.

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The Conversation

View from The Hill: Labor widens leads in Newspoll and Ipsos, as pre-polling starts

The opposition has increased its winning margins in both Newspoll and the Australian Financial Review’s Ipsos poll, as Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese clashed in a shouty, fractious debate on Sunday night.

The Conversation

Labor seizes large lead in Newspoll and Ipsos; impact of how to vote cards is exaggerated

This week’s Newspoll, conducted May 4-7 from a sample of 1,523, gave Labor a 54-46 lead, a one-point gain for Labor since the previous week’s Newspoll. Primary votes were 39% Labor (up one), 35% Coalition (down one), 11% Greens (steady), 5% One Nation (steady), 4% UAP (steady) and 6% Others…

The Conversation

Labor's lead steady in Newspoll and gains in Resolve; how the polls moved during past campaigns

This week’s Newspoll, conducted April 27-30 from a sample of 1,538, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, unchanged since last week. Primary votes were 38% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (steady), 11% Greens (steady), 5% One Nation (up two), 4% UAP (steady) and 6% for all Others (down three).

The Conversation

View from The Hill: Labor strongly ahead in Newspoll and Resolve, as election race enters final half

Labor’s confidence will be boosted by two polls showing it holding a strong lead, as Anthony Albanese carried off a well-orchestrated party launch in Perth on Sunday.

The Conversation

Labor retains clear Newspoll lead and large Ipsos lead as record number of candidates nominate

This week’s Newspoll, conducted April 20-23 from a sample of 1,538, gave Labor a 53-47 lead, unchanged from last week. Primary votes were 37% Labor (up one), 36% Coalition (up one), 11% Greens (down one), 4% UAP (steady), 3% One Nation (down one) and 9% for all Others (steady).

The Conversation

Labor maintains election-winning leads in Newspoll and Ipsos, as opposition to unveil Pacific initiatives

Labor has maintained unchanged its solid two-party leads in both Newspoll and the Australian Financial Review’s Ipsos poll.

The Conversation

Explainer: how to read political polls - and why we can expect a lot of drama on election night

The single most important measure in Australian election polls is the two-party preferred vote (2PP). It captures the two central characteristics of Australian House of Representatives elections: that it is a preferential voting system, in which the flow of preferences can be crucial in determining who wins a seat; and…

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