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The Latest Breaking News from Mohamed ElErian

Expect a 'huge sucking sound' of foreign capital flooding in as U.S. dominance of global finance increases, top economist says

"This is a period in which U.S. dominance of the global system is going to increase, both for positive reasons and for negative reasons in the short term."

Fortune

Government urged to help as shipmaker Harland & Wolff prepares to enter administration – as it happened

Steps are now being taken to reduce headcount at Harland & Wolff, as board concludes the company is insolvent

The Guardian - UK

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian warns an emergency Fed rate cut could reinforce a negative spiral and help spark a recession

“It’s a little bit like wanting to go to the emergency room for a cough,” El-Erian told Fortune.

Fortune

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America may lose its economic exceptionalism because of the Fed, El-Erian warns

"This is the first time that I have a growth scare," said top economist Mohamed El-Erian.

Fortune

As a global energy crisis returns, the UK push for a green economy makes even more sense

Rishi Sunak’s decision to dilute net zero policies has become even more shortsighted

The Guardian - UK

Treasury Yields Reach 17-Year High, Causing Strain In U.S. Bond Market

Surging Treasury Yields Strain U.S. Bond Market, Defying Expectations

Zenger

Top economist Mohammed El-Erian warns markets got ‘drunk on support’ from central bank ‘BFFs’, and now he’s more comfortable keeping his fortune in cash

Mohammed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz and former Pimco CEO, says the Fed and Bank of England's high rates bodes well for savers.

Fortune

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Permacrisis by Gordon Brown, Mohamed El-Erian and Michael Spence review – road to nowhere

A call for growth from three veterans of the financial crisis rings hollow

The Guardian - UK

Top Economist El-Erian Urges Caution Amid Growing Signs Of Convergence

Premature to forecast convergence as challenges remain in global economy and financial markets, says Mohamed El-Erian

Zenger

UK recession fears swirl as factory output falls and house prices slide – as it happened

Nationwide reports average house prices fell 3.8% in year to July, biggest annual drop in 14 years, while manufacturers suffer worst month of 2023

The Guardian - UK

Rep. Khanna Questions Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Amid Calls For Re-evaluation

As the inflation rate sits above 4%, Khanna asks why not set the target at 3% to address modern needs.

Zenger

Mortgage turbulence continues as HSBC pulls deals; UK house prices ‘to fall 10%’ – business live

HSBC temporarily removes mortgage products for new customers, as borrowers face higher rates

The Guardian - UK

Mohamed El-Erian’s advice to Jerome Powell: ‘Talk less, smile more’

The Federal Reserve has a communication problem, and it could be damaging the stock market, says El-Erian.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian warns that ‘erosion in trust’ caused by banking crisis will lead to ‘economic contagion’

El-Erian warned “fallout” from recent banking stress is adding to pressure on the economy.

Fortune

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Fortune

Customers scramble to withdraw money from First Republic as stock drops almost 50%

Efforts to reassure the public that First Republic is safe have so far been unsuccessful as bank's shares plunge.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says unlimited deposit guarantee is hard to reverse after SVB fallout: ‘We are now in a different world’

The economist also said that the Fed will likely now “retreat” on interest rate hikes.

Fortune

SVB's collapse could lead to 'contagion' among regional banks—but experts say it's not a systemic risk to the entire financial system

“We do not believe there is contagion risk for the rest of the banking sector on the heels of SVB's struggles,” David Trainer, CEO of the investment research firm New Constructs, told Fortune.

Fortune

'It really shouldn't be this way': Top economist Mohamed El-Erian blames the Fed for bad messaging and stock volatility

Fed's Jerome Powell hinted in February that inflation hikes would slow because disinflation was underway. But on Tuesday, he seemed to backtrack.

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Evening Standard

‘Reason to be optimistic:’ Bank chief offers hope on interest rate hikes

Interest rates are no longer expected to rise as high as feared this year, a Bank of England chief said on Friday.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says the Fed has a small ‘window’ to reduce inflation after missing hard on other opportunities

He said the Fed already missed two opportunities to curb inflation—once in 2021 and then again in 2022.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian sees inflation getting 'sticky' at 4%—and a growing chorus sees the dawn of a new world in investing

At the World Economic Forum in Davos, the world’s business leaders fretted over the possibility that inflation won’t fall back to central banks’ targets.

Fortune

Prepare for a 'slowcession' in 2023, says one of the first economists to predict the 2008 financial crash

The year ahead will no doubt be tough for the U.S. economy, but the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics wants us to be a little more optimistic.

Fortune

Inflation means raises next year may not make a huge difference for US employees

Inflation eroded employees' purchasing power this year. 2023 will likely be more of the same.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says there’s a ‘new definition’ for a soft landing and argues ‘we can’t avoid a recession’

Americans may have to accept higher inflation, or face a serious recession as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to get to its 2% inflation target, El-Erian warns.

Fortune

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says the Fed will face these two ‘unpleasant choices’ next year

“This is what happens when an inflationary moment is allowed to get embedded into the economic system,” El-Erian said.

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