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Fortune
Fortune
Nick Lichtenberg, Fortune Intelligence

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says Trump's in a 'question mark' moment—and it could go the way of Ronald Reagan or Jimmy Carter

Mohamed El-Erian (Credit: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Mohamed El-Erian has been a thought leader on macroeconomics for decades, regularly making headlines for his incisive commentary on how politicians’ choices in Washington, D.C. affect everyday life—for investors and others. For instance, during Joe Biden’s presidency, the chief economic advisor for Allianz offered measured praise of the economy’s over-achievement by many benchmarks, tempered with criticism that the Federal Reserve had undermined its own credibility by failing to meet its 2% inflation target.

With inflation having now cooled, but still far from a settled issue, El-Erian is now raising a provocative question: Will America’s next era recall Ronald Reagan or Jimmy Carter? He told Yahoo Finance’s Morning Brief that America’s at a fork in the road, a real “question mark” moment, and in his view, it’s a true coin toss about what direction things will go from here.

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