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The Latest Breaking News from Inflation

GIFT Nifty jumps nearly 1% after reports of US relief on Iran oil sanctions

GIFT Nifty rallied nearly 1% after reports indicated possible temporary US sanctions relief on Iranian oil exports. Hopes of additional crude supply eased inflation and energy shock concerns, lifting investor sentiment despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatile crude prices, rupee weakness, and uncertainty surrounding West Asia negotiations.

The Economic Times

US stocks today: US stocks trade mixed as Treasury yields ease, oil prices retreat

U.S. stocks were mixed in choppy trade as Treasury yields eased from recent highs and oil prices declined on easing supply concerns. Investors remained cautious amid inflation worries and rate hike bets, while AI-driven optimism and key earnings kept markets supported.

The Economic Times

The Iran war is now changing your Social Security check; here's the new 2027 COLA number

Social Security COLA update 2027: Gas prices in America have surged above $4.10 per gallon, up sharply from $3.17 last year, and the impact is now reaching Social Security checks. The latest inflation spike, fueled by global oil tensions and the Iran conflict, is increasing pressure on millions of retirees…

The Economic Times

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Rising prices are Britons’ biggest money worry as inflation stays high, survey finds

Households ‘increasingly gloomy’ about finances amid fears of interest rate rises due to higher fuel prices

The Guardian - UK

Is a deeper bond crash ahead? From Washington to Tokyo, governments are paying the highest borrowing costs in decades as global bond yields surge — why are investors dumping bonds?

Global Bond Yields Spike to Multi-Decade Highs as Iran War Fuels Inflation Crisis: From Washington to Tokyo, governments are now paying the most to borrow in a generation. The Iran war's energy shock is rewriting the rules of global finance — and the bill is only getting larger. The 10-year…

The Economic Times

From milk to ACs, everyday essentials getting costlier as war fuels inflation

Indian households face rising costs for daily essentials. Fuel and commodity price hikes are pushing up prices for milk, packaged foods, and restaurant meals. Companies like Voltas, Blue Star, Amul, Godrej Consumer Products, Marico, Hindustan Unilever, and Asian Paints have already increased prices. Higher gold import duty also makes jewellery…

The Economic Times

Global bond rout deepens as Iran war drags on and underscores inflation fears

Global bond markets are experiencing significant losses as rising energy prices, fueled by the Iran conflict, ignite inflation fears. Investors now anticipate central banks worldwide, including the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank, to hike interest rates. Japan's government debt issuance further strains finances, pushing JGB yields to record…

The Economic Times

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Iran war hit to UK growth less than feared but inflation still to rise – IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) updated its growth projections a month after warning of a sharp slowdown caused by the global energy shock.

Evening Standard

Stocks Set to Open Lower as Oil Rises Amid Iran Impasse, Nvidia Earnings and Fed Minutes Awaited

June S&P 500 E-Mini futures (ESM26) are down -0.41%, and June Nasdaq 100 E-Mini futures (NQM26) are down -0.30% this morning, pointing to a lower open on Wall Street as oil prices continue to rise amid the stalemate between the U.S. and Iran.

Barchart

New era begins: Warsh steps into Fed role; Prepares for inflation battle and potential rate hikes

Kevin Warsh assumes leadership of the U.S. Federal Reserve. This marks a new chapter for the central bank and President Trump. Warsh faces challenges including inflation and interest rate decisions. The Fed's balance sheet and future rate movements are key focus areas.

The Economic Times

German 10-year bond yield stays at 15-year high amid global bond rout

Global bond markets are experiencing a selloff. Investors are concerned about rising energy prices due to the Middle East conflict. This could fuel inflation and lead to further interest rate hikes. German 10-year bond yields have reached a 15-year high. Italian 10-year yields are also up. European Central Bank head…

The Economic Times

Oil prices rise and bonds wobble as Iran war stokes inflation fears

Trump warning over peace talks drives up crude price as UK gilts hit by uncertainty over Starmer leadership

The Guardian - UK

Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge slams Modi govt, says it failed to foresee inflation and price rise

Mallikarjun Kharge criticized the government for delaying price hikes until after assembly elections, alleging that economic realities were hidden from the public. He pointed to recent increases in CNG, petrol, and diesel prices, and accused the BJP government and Prime Minister Narendra Modi of lacking foresight amid rising inflation.

The Economic Times

SBI Report: No direct impact of oil price hike on India's fiscal situation

Fuel prices have risen by Rs 3 per litre. This move aims to reduce losses for oil companies. SBI's research report Ecowrap suggests that the impact on consumer inflation will be temporary. Annual fuel consumption is expected to remain stable. The government's fiscal situation is not directly affected by this…

The Economic Times

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The Economic Times

US Stock Market: Sticky inflation complicates Kevin Warsh’s Fed transition as rate hike odds jump

Sticky inflation has pushed investors to raise bets on a potential U.S. Federal Reserve rate hike, creating early challenges for incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. With markets pricing in higher odds of tightening by January, shifting economic data and rising price pressures, risk complicating the Fed’s policy transition, Reuters reported.

The Guardian - UK

IMF raises UK growth forecast and backs Reeves’s deficit reduction plans; bonds recover after sell-off – as it happened

International Monetary Fund says ‘Staying the course on deficit reduction will be important’ for the UK, in annual assessment of the economy

The Economic Times

US Stock Market: Bond market pressure clouds Kevin Warsh’s plans to shrink Fed balance sheet

Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s push to shrink the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet faces mounting challenges as rising Treasury yields, inflation concerns, and weakening demand for U.S. debt intensify market pressures. Analysts warn that reducing Fed intervention could expose structural vulnerabilities in the Treasury market amid a deteriorating fiscal backdrop.

The Economic Times

US Stock Market: AI boom and consumer spending trends take center stage as earnings season nears key test

S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite are heading into a crucial week near record highs, with investors focused on two key themes — the AI-driven market rally and the strength of U.S. consumer spending amid sticky inflation. Earnings from NVIDIA and major retailers like Walmart, Home Depot, Target and TJX Companies…

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The Economic Times

Ryanair sees peak summer fares flat as Iran uncertainty hits bookings

Ryanair reported its annual profit slightly exceeded expectations, reaching 2.26 billion euros. However, the airline cautioned that economic uncertainty, driven by higher oil prices and inflation fears, is likely to result in flat fare growth during the peak summer months. This outlook impacts the current fiscal year, with potential pressure…

The Economic Times

Summer travelers who relied on Spirit Airlines may struggle to find budget alternatives

Spirit Airlines has ceased operations, leaving many Americans struggling to find affordable flights. Rising jet fuel costs, inflation, and intense competition are squeezing budget carriers. Consolidation is happening in the sector as airlines merge. This situation highlights the challenges for low-cost airlines to survive in the current economic climate.

The Economic Times

Silver tanks Rs 5,600/kg, gold slips Rs 1,000/10g after drone strike on UAE nuclear plant amid Iran war fears. Time to sell?

Gold and silver prices opened sharply lower on Monday, driven by escalating Middle East tensions that pushed oil prices higher and fueled inflation concerns. This surge in oil prices strengthened expectations that interest rates could remain elevated for longer, impacting bullion markets. Investors are closely watching for further clues on…

The Economic Times

WPI inflation crossing 10% mark not a tail risk but a near-term base case: Report

The recent Rs 3 hike in petrol and diesel prices, announced after the Prime Minister's national exhortation for austerity, was widely anticipated, according to a research report by Systematix. It stated that the hike is almost "certainly the beginning of a series of hikes, not the end of one."

The Economic Times

Gold slips to 1-1/2-month low as Middle East tensions lift oil, cloud rate outlook

Gold prices dropped to a one-month low on Monday. Middle East tensions boosted oil prices, fueling inflation concerns. This reinforced expectations for sustained higher interest rates. Investors are awaiting US Federal Reserve meeting minutes for policy direction. India has also curbed silver imports to ease pressure on its currency. Other…

The Economic Times

Global Market Today: Asian shares slip, oil prices pile pressure on bonds

Asian markets declined Monday. Drone attacks in the Gulf boosted oil prices and bond yields. Investors anticipate Nvidia's earnings report this week, which could impact the AI boom. G7 finance ministers are meeting to discuss the Strait of Hormuz and raw material supplies. High energy costs are driving inflation concerns…

The Economic Times

Bond yield spike puts equities market at risk

Investors warn that US stock markets are not reflecting inflation risks. High energy prices and the Iran conflict are overlooked. A recent spike in bond yields is causing caution. Experts note a market paradox with strong earnings but negative inflation signals. Clients are seeking clarity on this divided outlook. This…

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