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The Latest Breaking News from Esfandyar Batmanghelidj

There are gas lines in Iran, but no sign yet that its leaders will bow to US sanctions

Long lines have formed outside gas stations in Iran's capital as people rush to fill their tanks amid fuel shortages, fears of higher prices and new U.S. sanctions

The Independent UK

The Iran war could last 'deep into 2027' as the Strait of Hormuz isn't that closed, allowing more oil to leak out—but major escalation is likely soon

"And if the Strait is not fully closed, Iran’s leverage is weak. Thus, Iran has reasons to escalate."

Fortune

Trump Backs Down From Yet Another Empty Threat to Iran

We’re locked in a cycle: The president threatens to resume the war, he claims Iran backed down, and then he gets frustrated with Iran again.

Reason

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Trump Lets Americans Buy Iranian Oil for the First Time Since the 1980s

As part of peace negotiations, the U.S. Treasury issued an unprecedented total waiver from Iranian oil sanctions.

Reason

Iran's economy has been battered. Its leaders still think Trump will blink first

U.S. and Israeli airstrikes crippled thousands of factories in Iran, and the damage is reverberating across the country's economy

The Independent UK

The Iranian people were starting to win their battle for liberty and prosperity. Then Israel attacked

Something was shifting in Iran, but now missiles and the return of foreign interference may tear up the green shoots of progress, says Esfandyar Batmanghelidj, founder of the Bourse & Bazaar Foundation thinktank

The Guardian - UK

Iran seeks to stir up conflict, not avoid it

Letters: Tehran should accept that it can’t defeat Israel, says Roger Fisken, while Frank Adam believes Iran’s problems are of the ayatollahs’ own making

The Guardian - UK

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Iran has tried to avoid conflict with Israel and failed – which deterrent will it reach for next?

It would be a risky move, but some in Iran now see building a nuclear bomb as the only way to fend off Israeli attacks, says Middle East expert Esfandyar Batmanghelidj

The Guardian - UK

Iran Rejects Western Calls To Stand Down Israel Threat

Iran on Tuesday rejected Western calls to stand down its threat to retaliate against Israel for the killing of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran late last month.

International Business Times

Iran will fall into Netanyahu’s trap if it hits Israel hard – but it can still avoid disaster

A major attack would strengthen the Israeli leader and scupper peace talks over Gaza. A ceasefire should be Tehran’s priority, says Middle East thinktank founder Esfandyar Batmanghelidj

The Guardian - UK

Analysis: Renewed Saudi-Iranian ties, brokered by China, force new calculations in Mideast

BEIRUT — The surprise announcement of a resumption of diplomatic ties between Saudi Arabia and Iran, thanks to a deal brokered by Beijing, underscores regional governments’ interest in a de-escalation of tensions — and China’s willingness to wield its economic clout to achieve it.

Los Angeles Times

What’s behind Iran and Russia’s efforts to link banking systems?

Tehran and Moscow have shown serious political will to expand economic ties, but challenges remain.

Al Jazeera

Iran demonstrators vow to continue protests despite ongoing crackdowns

The protests that have gripped the country since September may have diminished to some extent recently, but demonstrators in Iran reached by NPR insist the protests will not die out or fade away.

WEKU

Iran’s Revolutionary Year

Why Iran’s Gen Z is protesting, and why the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps won’t back down. These articles explain Tehran’s difficult 2022.

Foreign Policy

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Los Angeles Times

‘Nothing to lose’: Iran’s protesters step up their defiance as a potential showdown looms

TEHRAN, Iran — Twice now, the mass protests roiling Iran have reached even her deeply conservative neighborhood. Shahrzad, a 36-year-old teacher who lives with her parents and acts as their caregiver, has so far heeded her promise to them not to join, although she wants to.

People

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