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Sports Illustrated
Sports Illustrated
Samuel Profeta

World Cup Opener: Kalshi & Polymarket Odds for USA vs. Paraguay

Kalshi Polymarket Paraguay United States World Cup Christian Pulisic

The 2026 World Cup group stage is officially underway with Team USA taking the field on Friday, June 12th, against fellow Group D opponent, Paraguay. As they sit right now, prediction markets are heavily leaning on the Americans to win their first match.

Prediction markets are giving the U.S. Men’s National Team similar chances to win their first match across the board. The World Cup prediction market on Kalshi has them listed at 50% to win, 29% chance to tie, and 23% chance for Paraguay to win. Polymarket’s World Cup market has all the same percentages except Paraguay winning at 24%.

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