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Reason
Reason
Stephanie Slade

Will Migration From Blue States to Red States Give the GOP a Boost in the Electoral College? Not Necessarily.

Since 2015, the U-Haul Growth Index has been shining a light on domestic migration trends by looking at where people picked up one-way truck reservations and where they dropped them off—a clever if imperfect proxy for relocations. As in recent years, red states such as Texas, Florida, and Tennessee topped the rankings for drawing new residents in 2025, while blue states such as California, Illinois, and Massachusetts filled out a majority of the bottom spots.

Because votes in the Electoral College are determined by a state's total representation in the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate, and because House seats are apportioned based on population, these changes could have huge political implications.

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