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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
National
Josh Marcus

Scientists warn super El Niño could drive record global heat

  • Scientists predict one of the most powerful El Niño climate patterns on record could form in the coming months, potentially driving unprecedented global temperatures.
  • Water in the central equatorial Pacific Ocean could reach 3 degrees Celsius above average later this year, approaching or topping records dating back generations, according to the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts.
  • This brewing “super El Niño,” expected to form between this month and July, could lead to global temperatures hitting new records as the pattern continues through 2027.
  • The El Niño cycle is projected to cause varied weather impacts across the U.S., including drier and warmer conditions in the Northern U.S. and wetter conditions along the Gulf Coast and Southeast.
  • The heat from this El Niño could permanently push the global average temperature past 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, a key benchmark in the Paris climate agreement.

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