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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
George Magnus

Why Peak China may finally have arrived

People grapple with umbrellas as the wind and rain take hold
A tropical storm on Nanjing East Road in Shanghai. Photograph: Ying Tang/NurPhoto/Shutterstock

Proclamations about the inevitability of China’s dominance of the global economic system, or the so-called Chinese century, were made long before Donald Trump’s attempts to stymie its trade with the US.

Common concerns about coercive politics and human rights aside, some notions of China as an unstoppable economic, technological and military behemoth sit alongside others focused more on an increasingly sclerotic, over- centralised political economy, that depends on wasteful economic stimulus, and features poor governance and institutions. The fusion of these notions suggests that we may already have reached “peak China”.

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