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Darin Newsom

What Does Thursday's Dramatic Shift in the Fed Fund Futures Forward Curve Tell Us?

US Federal Reserve United States
  • Deferred Fed fund futures contracts dropped Thursday, creating a dramatic change in the market's forward curve.
  • The forward curve is now showing the market does not believe another rate cut will be made through at least May 2027.
  • The reason is simple:  Fear of inflation long-term, or F.O.I.L. 
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