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The Conversation
The Conversation
David A. Fleming-Muñoz, Professor of Agricultural and Resource Economics, La Trobe University

What a strong El Niño could mean for Australian communities, jobs and food prices

El Niño Australia Drought Ocean Pacific Ocean
Chris Lean/Unsplash

Climate models are now confidently projecting the world will experience a very strong El Niño weather event this year. For Australia, this Pacific Ocean phenomenon means we are likely to see hotter and drier conditions for the rest of 2026 and into 2027.

While it’s only one of several factors influencing our weather, an El Niño event increases the likelihood of drought in eastern and southern Australia. This can directly impact local economies, with social ripple effects across affected communities.

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