Good morning. It’s more than a year until Americans choose their next president, but the race to be the Republican nominee is well under way. Their frontrunner is some guy called Donald Trump – you’ve probably heard of him. The one with the mugshot.
But today we are looking at the 38-year-old “anti-woke” tech bro who could end up being Trump’s greatest rival. Vivek Ramaswamy, a biotech entrepreneur, was widely viewed as the “winner” of the first Republican TV debate last week. Selling himself as “a patriot who speaks the truth”, he called the climate change agenda a “hoax” and promised “revolution” rather than “incremental reform”. Oh, and he vowed that one of his first acts as president would be to pardon Trump for whatever he may have been convicted of by then. Lovely stuff.
So does this bumptious upstart stand a chance at getting the Republican nomination? And could youth win over experience if he ends up going head-to-head with Joe Biden in 2024? In today’s newsletter, I discuss all this and more with Dr Leslie Vinjamuri, director of the US and Americas programme at the thinktank Chatham House.
In depth: ‘Is Trump’s base really going to grab on to someone who doesn’t look like them?’
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Who is Vivek Ramaswamy?
Born in Ohio in 1985, Ramaswamy is the son of Indian Hindu immigrants, just like the UK’s own Rishi Sunak. Ramaswamy’s mother worked as a geriatric psychiatrist; his father was an engineer and a patent lawyer at General Electric.
Unlike the UK prime minister, “Ramaswamy made his own money – he didn’t marry into it”, says Dr Leslie Vinjamuri. He founded the biotechnology firm Roivant Sciences, which raised hundreds of millions of dollars with bold claims about an Alzheimer’s drug which, well, ultimately failed its clinical trial. Ramaswamy still got rich, though, taking out at least $200m (£159m) from the company, according to the New York Times.
Remind you of anyone? Like Elizabeth Holmes, the Stanford dropout in jail for defrauding investors with her useless blood-testing company, Ramaswamy has also featured on the cover of Forbes magazine. They called him “The 30-year-old CEO conjuring drug companies from thin air.” To be clear: First Edition is not suggesting the presidential hopeful is guilty of criminal fraud, just that he shares the same talent for self-publicity as Holmes.
Despite styling himself as an anti-establishment outsider, he went to Harvard, where he studied biology and performed libertarian-themed rap music under the alter ego “Da Vek”. Like Kendall at Logan’s birthday party, Ramaswamy is prone to spitting bars in public – often by Eminem, who has asked him to cease and desist using his music on the campaign trail.
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What does Ramaswamy believe in?
These are Ramaswamy’s “10 truths”, according to his campaign website: “God is real. There are two genders. Human flourishing requires fossil fuels. Reverse racism is racism. An open border is no border. Parents determine the education of their children. The nuclear family is the greatest form of governance known to mankind. Capitalism lifts people up from poverty. There are three branches of the US government, not four. The US constitution is the strongest guarantor of freedoms in history.”
Ramaswamy, the bestselling author of 2021’s Woke, Inc: Inside Corporate America’s Social Justice Scam, wants to see a much smaller state, and has promised to abolish most federal agencies, including the FBI and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. He has called the climate crisis agenda a “hoax”, saying that while he accepts the climate is changing (which he says was ever thus), policies to address it “have little to do with climate change and more to do with penalising the west as a way to achieve global ‘equity’”.
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Does he have a chance?
“He is certainly a contender,” says Vinjamuri. “I mean, right now, nobody’s a serious contender because Trump is sailing so far ahead. But any number of things could happen to Trump, and if one of those things happens, then Vivek Ramaswamy is the person who has captured front and centre of the GOP debates. He was the one everyone on stage wanted to put down. And that usually happens when somebody looks like a real threat.”
Will Trump ultimately secure the Republican nomination? “There’s nothing self evident that would rule him out,” she says. There are not many eligibility requirements for US presidents and a criminal record doesn’t disqualify someone from the race, so in theory, yes. But it’d be pretty difficult to campaign from prison.
If Trump is stopped it will not be “because someone says it’s illegal for him to stand, but because somebody makes the calculation that the public opinion is moving against him – too many indictments, trials, all these legal proceedings – and he is becoming less interesting and somebody else is taking the stage.”
Could Ramaswamy be that somebody? He is currently third in the polls, with Trump flying higher than ever on 49.2%. Meanwhile, Trump’s onetime nearest rival – Florida governor Ron DeSantis, who was polling 40% in January – loses support almost every time he opens his mouth. He is now down to 14.19%, with Ramaswamy next on 10.1%.
“A lot of it is going to come down to: where do people put their money?” says Vinjamuri. Ramaswamy has high-profile support from rightwing billionaires including PayPal founder Peter Thiel, as my colleague Martin Pengelly has reported.
Vinjamuri is not convinced that Ramaswamy, as the “dark-skinned son of an immigrant”, will be able to appeal to Trump’s base. “They’ll like his anti-climate, anti-woke rhetoric,” she says. “But are they really going to grab on to someone who doesn’t looks like them? The Republican party has been so dominated by a man who has peddled white nationalism, who has been racist in his rhetoric.”
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Can he beat Biden?
“General elections are won in the swing states,” says Vinjamuri. “And the Democrats are not gonna swing to Ramaswamy because on every issue he is just so far away from them.”
Joe Biden has declared his candidacy, despite more than three-quarters of respondents in a new US poll saying he would be too old to be effective if re-elected president next year, when he will be 81.
“The view in the Democratic camp is that if it’s going to be Trump, it needs to be Biden. But if it’s Ramaswamy, what about Pete Buttigieg?” she says, referring to Biden’s 41-year-old secretary of state for transport, who ran for the Democratic nomination in 2020. “If Trump exits the scene, everything becomes an open question.”
What else we’ve been reading
Alexandra Topping’s article featuring a family made homeless as a result of the UK’s housing crisis is illuminating: “I never thought this could happen to us,” says Colin, 46. “I knew we wouldn’t be able to afford our own home, but I just thought we’d be renting privately for ever.” Nimo
An inspiring – and helpful – piece by nonagenarian Joan Bakewell on the joy of giving away your money before you die, which she describes as “one of life’s last pleasures”. Helen
It’s the last week of the summer holidays and parents everywhere are trying to get their school-age children back to a normal sleep schedule. Zoe Williams chronicles the tiring “long road back to school hours” – her kids are not the only ones who are struggling with it. Nimo
Crash Bandicoot got his wife through postnatal depression and Championship Manager kept him busy when he moved to the Lake District to escape the millennium bug. Dominik Diamond – yes, him, from GamesMaster – on how video games have kept his family together. Helen
Maintaining friendships in adulthood can be hard, but it’s important to try. For the Atlantic (£), Rhaina Cohen highlights why not just catching up with friends but scheduling more childlike whimsy and playfulness into platonic relationships can enrich them. Nimo
The front pages
“Britain must take China’s human rights abuses seriously, say MPs” is our Guardian splash this morning. The Financial Times says “Goldman Sachs bought UK and US companies using Chinese state cash”. “Britain isn’t a Christian nation now, say clergy” is the main offering in the Times while the Daily Telegraph has “Khan faces revolt over Ulez”. “Flights hell families £1,000s out of pocket” – that’s the Daily Mirror on airport chaos. “Not a penny to compensate air chaos victims” says the Daily Mail. A comparatively moderate take in the i – “UK airlines accused of abandoning passengers” – while the Metro tots up an “£80 million bill for air IT fiasco”. Top story in the Daily Express today is “PM: our Brexit freedoms will ditch EU rule to build homes”.
Today in Focus
Rats, fires and floods: why the UK parliament is falling down
It is the symbol of Britain’s democracy and it is falling into decay. The Palace of Westminster needs extensive – and expensive – repairs. But are MPs ready to do what it takes to save it?
Cartoon of the day | Daniel Christie
The Upside
A bit of good news to remind you that the world’s not all bad
Takahē are a large flightless prehistoric bird that were formally declared extinct in 1898 after their already reduced population was devastated by the arrival of European settlers’ animals. Five decades later they were rediscovered and, because of conservation efforts, their numbers now stand at about 500, growing at roughly 8% a year. The efforts are part of a wider project in New Zealand to protect the country’s endangered birds.
In another landmark moment for the takahē, last week 18 of the birds were released in the Lake Wakatipu Waimāori valley, an alpine area of New Zealand’s South Island. They are now free to roam on slopes for the first time in over a century. It is a particularly significant moment for the Ngāi Tahu, the tribe who faced a long legal battle for the birds’ return to lands they had fought to regain.
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Bored at work?
And finally, the Guardian’s puzzles are here to keep you entertained throughout the day – with plenty more on the Guardian’s Puzzles app for iOS and Android. Until tomorrow.
