Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
International Business Times UK
International Business Times UK
Chelsie Napiza

Walmart's AI Pricing Plan Could Let Prices Shift Hourly Based On Demand, Inventory And Customer Behaviour

Walmart is fitting its 4,600 US stores with AI-linked digital shelf labels that can update the price of any of its 120,000 products within minutes, stoking a national debate over whether the world's largest retailer is quietly building the infrastructure for demand-based surge pricing.

The retailer confirmed in December 2024 that it had extended its contract with digital label provider VusionGroup to cover all of its US stores by the end of 2026, accelerating a rollout that began with a single pilot supercenter in Grapevine, Texas.

The labels connect wirelessly to Walmart's central systems, allowing employees to push pricing changes via mobile app rather than walking the shop floor to swap out paper tags, a process that previously took up to two days and now takes minutes.

What Walmart frames as an operational efficiency play, a growing number of legislators, consumer advocates, and retail analysts frame as a new frontier for algorithmic pricing of groceries.

The Infrastructure Walmart Is Building

Walmart's June 2024 corporate announcement described the digital shelf label (DSL) expansion as a win for store associates and shoppers alike. Daniela Boscan, a food and consumables team lead at a Walmart store in Hurst, Texas, wrote in the post that a price change taking two days under the old system 'now takes only minutes with the new DSL system.'

Greg Cathe, Walmart's senior vice president of transformation and innovation, confirmed in December 2024 that the retailer was 'pleased with the results of the programme rollout' and would accelerate to all 4,600 US stores. Retail analysts report the contract with VusionGroup to be worth roughly a billion in total deployment value.

The labels do more than change prices. They can illuminate in different colours to signal promotional offers, display WIC-eligible product information, and guide e-commerce order pickers through the store. According to the US Chamber of Commerce, one independent grocer using the same VusionGroup technology saved as many as 50 labour hours per week, with a projected return on investment in under two years.

Walmart is one of the largest stores in the world. (Credit: Pexels)

The speed those labels make possible is precisely what concerns critics. Retail consultant Greg Zakowicz, writing for The Food Institute, raised a scenario in which Walmart could adjust prices on frozen goods during a heat wave 'even if only by a few cents,' adding: 'Pennies add up and will help increase store profits.' Walmart has not commented on that specific scenario.

Walmart's Denial — And The Limits Of That Denial

The company's position is unambiguous on the face of it. In a formal statement reported by The Street, Walmart wrote: 'Prices are the same for all customers in any given store and are consistent regardless of demand, time of day, or who is shopping.' Greg Cathey, the same SVP of transformation cited in the rollout announcement, went further, stating: 'It is absolutely not going to be one hour it is this price and the next hour it is not.'

Retail thought leader Carol Spieckerman, owner of Spieckerman Retail, acknowledged that Walmart is 'telling the truth, at least in the moment,' while noting the technical reality in a post cited by The Street: 'Here's the reality: there are no technical safeguards preventing surge pricing or other forms of price manipulation. The capability exists. But two things can be true at once.'

Data from retail analytics firm Decodo, reported by Retail Brew, found Walmart logged 68,926 online price changes across its marketplace in 2025, with 53% of those being markdowns. Amazon led with 116,509 changes. Notably, that dataset covers e-commerce pricing; Walmart's in-store digital shelf label activity is separate and not comprehensively tracked in public reporting.

A 2024 academic study tracking ESL adoption across more than 100 grocery stores, conducted by researchers from Northwestern University, UC San Diego, and the University of Texas at Austin, found 'virtually no surge pricing' before or after the labels were installed. The lead researcher, Ioannis Stamatopoulos of UT Austin, told CNBC: 'The facts show there is no surge pricing currently occurring.' That caveat, currently, is doing considerable work.

Congressional Scrutiny And The Broader Retail Reckoning

The political pressure on ESL pricing predates Walmart's full rollout. In August 2024, US Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bob Casey sent a formal letter to Kroger's then-chairman Rodney McMullen, warning that ESLs could enable retailers to 'calibrate price increases to extract maximum profits.'

The senators wrote that widespread adoption risked consumer goods being 'priced like airline tickets,' and asked Kroger to answer more than ten questions about its practices, including whether it had ever changed the price of a single item more than once within the same day.

Kroger's response, as reported by Grocery Dive, stated: 'To be clear, Kroger does not and has never engaged in 'surge pricing.'' The company added that its ESL technology was designed to identify opportunities to lower prices on perishables and seasonally specific goods. Walmart was named in the senators' letter as an example of the broader industry move toward ESLs, a fact Walmart has not publicly disputed.

The wider retail industry is watching closely. A survey by Gartner, conducted in October 2024 among 1,532 US consumers, found that 80% agreed that consistent pricing made a brand more trustworthy, and 79% reported experiencing an unexpected price scenario, from surge pricing to hidden fees, in the previous year.

Spieckerman noted in her analysis that consumers already accept algorithmic pricing every time they book a flight or call an Uber; implementing those same dynamics at the grocery shelf, she observed, 'hits different.'

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.