Following their 2-1 loss to Arsenal, the situation around Jesse Marsch's Leeds United looks bleak. Everton produced a 2-1 win over Leicester City on Sunday, meaning they leapfrogged the Whites and Burnley into 16th place. They travel to Watford on Wednesday who have the worst home form in the Premier League this season to play their game in hand, which could see Frank Lampard's side take another huge stride towards safety.
That would leave a straight shoot-out between Leeds and Burnley for the final relegation place. And forecasters FiveThirtyEight make Burnley slender favourites to beat the drop over Leeds.
Using a host of different data points and analytics, FiveThirtyEight have deduced that Everton have a 10 per cent chance of going down while Burnley have a 40 per cent chance.