Two Victorian polls have One Nation at 23–24% with Labor on top on primary votes in one and the Coalition in the other. Labor has a huge lead in New South Wales as the right vote is split under optional preferential voting. A record number of candidates will contest the March 21 South Australian election.
The Victorian election is in late November. A Freshwater poll for The Herald Sun, conducted February 19–23 from a sample of 1,030, gave Labor 28% of the primary vote (down two since the November Freshwater poll), the Coalition 27% (down ten), One Nation 23% (not previously asked for), the Greens 13% and all Others 9%. After preferences, Labor and the Coalition were tied at an unchanged 50–50.
The close result on voting intentions comes despite Labor Premier Jacinta Allan’s -33 net approval (down one point). Liberal leader Jess Wilson’s net approval was steady at +15, and Wilson led Allan as preferred premier by 46–30 (47–31 previously).
