The Briefing
- Norbert takes shape at 40 mph: The storm formed roughly 685 miles (1,102 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Sur, and forecasters have not posted any coastal alerts for it.
- Hurricane strength possible by Saturday: Forecasters expect gradual strengthening while Norbert sits over open Eastern Pacific water.
- Lowell keeps fading, but it peaked much stronger than it looks now: The storm rocketed to Category 5 strength, with winds hitting 160 mph, off Hawaii earlier this month before weakening; it's now a 65 mph tropical storm drifting west over open water.
- A near-record El Niño is driving the pattern: International forecasters expect this year's El Niño to become "very strong" before 2026 ends, among the most powerful on record, which is helping fuel an unusually busy Pacific season.