The Conservatives are set to lose their seat in a key battleground constituency near Bristol, according to data by YouGov. Tory Jack Lopresti has been the MP for Filton and Bradley Stoke since the seat's creation in 2010, but the research company says that would all change if a general election were held today (May 29.)
YouGov published its latest MRP model on Saturday (May 28) which found that if an election were held today, the Tories would hold onto just three of 88 battleground seats across England and Wales. Filton and Bradley Stoke is one of those seats, which is estimated to have a +7 Labour lead in the next election.
YouGov's model predicts that from the 88 constituencies which the Tories either one from Labour in 2019, or currently hold with a majority of less than 15pts over Labour, just three would remain in Conservative hands. They are Ashfield, Bassetlaw, and Dudley North.
