Get all your news in one place.
100's of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
Fortune
Fortune
Nick Lichtenberg

Top economists on ‘unexpected turbulence’ in the U.S. jobs market—the plane is coming in low and hitting a rough patch

w (Credit: Win McNamee—Getty Images)

Nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, badly missing consensus estimates that had called for a gain of roughly 80,000 to 90,000 jobs. It’s the second month of outright payroll losses this year. Compounding the miss, the government revised down May and June job growth by a combined 103,000, meaning the economy has added an average of just 34,000 jobs a month over the past year—a fraction of the pace economists consider healthy.

The unemployment rate, meanwhile, ticked down to 4.1% from 4.2%. But almost every economist who weighed in Friday agreed on one thing: That’s not actually good news. The rate fell not because more people found jobs, but because the labor force shrank—by 264,000, according to several estimates—as workers, particularly those age 55 and older, dropped out of the workforce altogether.

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100's of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.