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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Martin Belam

Thursday briefing: ​What difference will the ceasefire in the Middle East make, and will it hold?

A vendor displays morning newspapers at his roadside stall in Islamabad on April 8, 2026.
An agreement to a pause in the fighting occurred at the 11th hour. Photograph: Aamir Qureshi/AFP/Getty Images

Good morning. On Tuesday, just an hour before the deadline imposed by Donald Trump for Iran to reopen navigation in the strait of Hormuz or face a wave of “civilisation-ending” strikes, a two-week pause in hostilities was announced. After weeks of US and Israeli attacks on Tehran, and Iranian retaliation across the region, the news prompted relief among world leaders.

But unanswered questions are piling up. Israel’s assault on Lebanon continues, with Trump describing that conflict as a separate skirmish not included in the deal, despite Iran seeming to think otherwise. Overnight the US president has used social media to warn that “the ‘shootin’ starts,’ bigger, and better, and stronger than anyone has ever seen before” unless Tehran complies with “the real agreement”.

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