Get all your news in one place.
100’s of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Charles Curtis

The win probability chart after the Phillies blew a 6-run lead to the Mets is art

This is the online version of our daily newsletter, The Morning WinSubscribe to get irreverent and incisive sports stories, delivered to your mailbox every morning. Charles Curtis is filling in for Andy Nesbitt.

We have another win probability chart to add to the museum we here at For The Win are building*.

(*Not actually building a win probability chart museum, but hey that’d be cool).

Over the years, we’ve seen some all-timers: The one from that Chiefs-Bills playoff game that resembled our collective heart rates during that game. The Niners’ collapse against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl. The Dolphins’ miracle last-second win over the Patriots.

And now, we have the Phillies-Mets chart from Thursday. Philly was up 7-1 heading into the ninth, a win probability of nearly 99 percent per the chart.

Then? Disaster. The Phillies gave up SEVEN RUNS and lost. 

This is art:

Fun fact, per ESPN Stats and Info: The Mets were 0-330 in the past 25 seasons when trailing by six or more runs entering the ninth. HISTORY!

For the Phillies: Hey, it’s one game, these things happen from time to time, there are 162 games in a season. The team that just beat you has a history of woeful, awful stuff happening to it.

For the Mets: WOW. TALK ABOUT MOMENTUM! THIS TEAM WON’T QUIT.

And what a win probability chart it was.

Quick hits: NFL postseason bets … Shohei Ohtani magic … Yikes, Phil … and more.

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

— There’s no better time to predict whether NFL teams are making the playoffs or not than now. Here’s our look at all 32 teams and the best bets.

— Shohei Ohtani hit the longest single and then knocked off his own number on the Fenway Park scoreboard. There is nothing he can’t do.

— Phil Mickelson reportedly lost A LOT of money on gambling over four years.

— See the WNBA’s on-court logo honoring Brittney Griner.

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100’s of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.