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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Larry Elliott Economics editor

The UK property market is not crashing, it’s proving resilient – for now

A man and a woman with their backs to the camera look at houses displayed in the window of an estate agents.
Buyers are opting for smaller properties and are less willing to pay inflated asking prices. Photograph: James Veysey/Shutterstock

Britain has an unhealthy obsession with house prices, particularly during those relatively rare periods when they are falling rather than rising. So news that the cost of a home has fallen for four months in a row will inevitably lead to speculation about a property crash.

It isn’t happening. Yes, it’s August and there’s not much news around, but even so the idea that a 2.4% annual fall in prices means the property market is in crisis is nonsense. Asset prices can go down as well as up, and a correction was always likely after the post-lockdown boom. That correction has been made inevitable by the sharp increase in mortgage rates over the past year.

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