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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
Comment
Nicki Hutley

The RBA’s decision to hold rates isn’t a calamity, but its shift in language is confounding – and worrying

Michele Bullock
Michele Bullock has implied a rate cut is imminent at the August meeting but the most recent interest rate hold has resulted in an erosion in trust in the institution, writes economist Nicki Hutley. Photograph: Steve Markham/AAP

Following a spate of soft data, financial markets had priced in a near certainty that the Reserve Bank would cut interest rates this week – so it came as a shock to many when they chose to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 3.85%.

As the treasurer noted, the decision was “not the result millions of Australians were hoping for.” Mortgage holders can take heart, however, from the RBA governor’s words at the post-decision press conference, where she implied that a rate cut following the August meeting was pretty well in the bag. “The board decided to wait a few weeks” she told reporters, adding that the decision was around the timing rather than direction of rates.

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