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The Conversation
The Conversation
René Rohrbeck, Professor of Strategy, Director EDHEC Chair for Foresight, Innovation and Transformation, EDHEC Business School

The future of medicine: 50-year forecast offers hope for HIV and cancer patients and predicts climate change to increasingly set agenda

The Covid-19 pandemic has changed the way we think about health and revealed significant flaws within our health care systems. It has also raised questions about the role of technology, as well as ethical concerns about the distribution of wealth and its impact on global health. How will this collective awakening that we have experienced influence the coming years and decades? This was the subject of our research on the future of medicine.

We utilised the Delphi method in a three-round study involving 22 experts from seven European countries. Participants included physicians, academics, and industry professionals. Despite a slight reduction in panel size in later rounds, study validity remained intact. Data were collected through audio or video responses and analysed using NVivo 12. The research focused on updating current medical trends, identifying key drivers for future development, and making health care foresights. Data were coded independently to minimise bias and formed the basis for questions in subsequent rounds.

1 to 2 years: beta and data

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