Leeds United have been backed by data analysts FiveThirtyEight to avoid relegation from the Premier League this season in their latest supercomputer predictions, despite losing 5-1 to Crystal Palace on Sunday - although their chances of playing Championship football have doubled since the midweek win over Nottingham Forest.
After Patrick Bamford opened the scoring for Leeds, Palace went on to score five without reply at Elland Road. Two polar opposite halves of football saw Javi Gracia's side implode as they now look to dust themselves down and go again ahead of Liverpool's visit to West Yorkshire on Monday night.
The defeat sees the Whites end the weekend in 16th, ahead of Everton, Nottingham Forest, Leicester City and Southampton. The Eagles are now four points ahead of Leeds in 12th, with Wolves, West Ham and Bournemouth sitting above them.
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And despite losing to relegation rivals Palace on Sunday, FiveThirtyEight's latest supercomputer prediction still sees Gracia's side finish in 16th - two places and three points ahead of the bottom three come May.
They predict that Leeds have a 20 per cent chance of going down this season, compared to Leicester (49%), Forest (76%) and Southampton (80%).
Heading into this weekend's games and on the back of Leeds' win over Forest, the forecast gave Leeds a 10 per cent chance of the drop.
FiveThirtyEight simulate a team's remaining league matches 20,000 times using weighted probabilities for each result. Every week the table is updated based on a side's form and prior results, with those on winning streaks seeing improved forecasts and those on a poor run subsequently penalised.
Therefore Leeds supporters can perhaps take some comfort that league form for all teams has already been factored into the model, which still backs the Whites to remain in the Premier League next season.
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