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Barchart
Barchart
Don Dawson

Speculators Fell in Love—The Market Didn’t: Silver After Valentine’s Day

The silver market delivered a historic performance last year. The long-standing $50-per-ounce all-time high, first established in 1980 and briefly challenged in 2011, was decisively taken out as prices accelerated through successive resistance levels. The move culminated in a spike to $121.78 per ounce, a level few participants had projected at the start of the year. What began as a steady bull trend turned into a vertical advance during the final stages, drawing in momentum-driven capital and forcing systematic strategies to chase the price higher.

As the rally intensified, speculative participation expanded rapidly. Open interest surged, and retail flows increased alongside leveraged fund exposure. In response to the growing volatility, the CME Group raised margin requirements multiple times, citing the need to ensure market integrity and guard against undercapitalized positions. Higher margin rates did little to cool enthusiasm in the short term, but they did increase the cost of holding leveraged longs at increasingly elevated price levels. The speed of the ascent, combined with expanding participation, created conditions typically associated with late-stage acceleration.

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