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Reason
Reason
Politics
Josh Blackman

Revisiting My Authorship Predictions And Making More Predictions

Today the Court decided four more cases, including three opinions by Justice Alito. How did my predictions from Tuesday fare?

There were no cases decided today from December. I still think the Chief Justice has Trump v. Slaughter. Now that Alito has six opinions for the term, I think he is done. Justice Kavanaugh almost certainly has NRSC v. FEC. But if Alito has NRSC, then my theory about his losing the majority in Hamm fails.

Today the Court decided Wolford from the January sitting. Alito wrote the majority opinion. Outstanding are the two transgender sports cases and Cook. So far, Roberts, Gorsuch, and Kavanaugh have not written from that sitting. I think Gorsuch is done for the term with seven majority. My thought on Tuesday was that Barrett, a former student athlete, would write both athletics cases while the Chief writes Cook. (Clarification: Barrett did not play college sports, but did participate in track and field in middle school.) But maybe Roberts may write the transgender cases, as he wrote Skrmetti. Then, Justice Kavanaugh may write a "The Fed is different" opinion for Cook.

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