President Joe Biden’s mediocre polling numbers and a difficult Senate map contribute to a somber mood for Democrats less than six months before Election Day. But there’s reason for Democratic optimism in one key Senate race, even as legal issues make one House member look more vulnerable while a GOP member’s status is in flux.
With the complexities of a potential independent run for reelection by Sen. Kyrsten Sinema and Arizona emerging as one of the country’s top battlegrounds, the Arizona Senate race had been rated as a Toss-up for months. But Inside Elections has now changed the rating of the Arizona Senate race from Toss-Up to Tilt Democratic.
While the latest New York Times/Siena poll, conducted April 28 to May 9, showed former President Donald Trump with a 49 percent to 42 percent advantage over Biden in Arizona, it also showed Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego led former news anchor Kari Lake 45 percent to 41 percent in the Senate race.
