Get all your news in one place.
100's of premium titles.
One app.
Start reading
The Economic Times
The Economic Times

Premium for near-term LME aluminium at 19-year high as Iran war tightens supply

The premium, or backwardation, of the near-term aluminium contract ​over the three-month benchmark on ​the London Metal Exchange hit $97 per metric ton ​on Friday, the highest in 19 years, as the Iran war tightens supply.

* The squeeze reflects a 39% drop in available aluminium stocks in LME-registered warehouses ‌since the conflict ⁠began ⁠in late February.

* The war has curtailed most shipping through the Strait ​of Hormuz, a key route for Gulf producers to export aluminium and import raw materials. ​Two regional smelters were hit by Iranian strikes in late March.

* Disrupted Middle East supply - typically around 9% of global output - has ​driven up physical premiums in Europe and the ⁠U.S., forcing ‌the two regions to compete for Canadian ​metal.

* Benchmark ​LME aluminium prices are up 22% so far this ⁠year. They hit a more than four-year high ​of $3,707.50 on Tuesday and were last up 0.3% at $3,671 ​on Friday.

* Available LME aluminium stocks have fallen to a one-year low of 254,625 tons, daily LME data showed on Friday, after 5,000 tons were cancelled, or marked as being prepared for delivery out, at the South Korean port of Gwangyang. <0#MALSTX-LOC>

* Traders ‌say Gwangyang mainly stores Russian-origin aluminium. Russian metal accounted for 72% of available LME stocks at the end of ​April.

* Many ​Western buyers have ⁠been avoiding Russian aluminium in recent years because of self-sanctioning or sanctions linked to Russia's war in Ukraine.

* "The cancellation is bigger than usual but ​still looks like a regular flow to either Korean or Chinese consuming market," said a metals logistics source.

* Cancellations signal intent to remove metal from the LME system, but warrants can be reissued. A further 108,263 tons of aluminium sit off-warrant, mostly in Asia.

Sign up to read this article
Read news from 100's of titles, curated specifically for you.
Already a member? Sign in here
Related Stories
Top stories on inkl right now
One subscription that gives you access to news from hundreds of sites
Already a member? Sign in here
Our Picks
Fourteen days free
Download the app
One app. One membership.
100+ trusted global sources.