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The Conversation
The Conversation
Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

One Nation gains in polls as budget is poorly received in Newspoll

In three credible post-budget polls, One Nation is up one to three points, with their victory at the May 9 Farrer byelection probably also contributing. Labor took a hit in Freshwater and Resolve, but not Newspoll.

Despite the hit in Resolve, they are still comfortably ahead, but Freshwater has a 50–50 tie between Labor and the Coalition.

The total vote for the Coalition and One Nation was up two points to 47% in both Newspoll and Resolve, but it was up three points to 51% in Freshwater. Angus Taylor led Anthony Albanese as preferred PM in Freshwater and Resolve, but Albanese retained a clear lead in Newspoll.

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