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Axios

Politics

Off-cycle elections send Republicans a clear midterms warning

Donald Trump Republican

Data: Axios research; Chart: Kavya Beheraj/Axios

Voters swung left in every major election this year since President Trump's return to power in January.

Why it matters: The off-cycle election results — combined with low approval ratings on Trump's handling of the economy — are red flags for Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterms.

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