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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Nick Schwartz

NFL playoff and Super Bowl chances for every team entering Week 13

There are some familiar franchises atop the standings in the AFC and NFC entering Week 13, but a few teams picked in the preseason to make deep playoff runs are now desperately scrambling just to get into the playoffs.

Entering Week 13, no team has clinched a playoff berth and no team has been eliminated from contention – mathematically, at least.

With six teams at 8-3, and a logjam of Wild Card contenders with 6-5 and 5-6 records, there’s going to be plenty of movement in the standings in the coming weeks.

To determine each team’s composite playoff chances, we averaged playoff projections from Pro Football Focus and New York Times, as each model had widely varying outlooks for certain teams.

Let’s look at every franchise’s current playoff and Super Bowl chances, starting with the teams already looking ahead to the 2024 NFL Draft.

The teams with no shot:

AP Photo/Matt York

32. Cardinals (2-10): 0.05% playoff chance

31. Patriots (2-9): 0.065% playoff chance

30. Panthers (1-10): 0.1% playoff chance

29. Commanders (4-8): 0.525% playoff chance

The ultimate longshots:

AP Photo/Julio Cortez

28. Giants (4-8): 1.63% playoff chance

27. Titans (4-7): 1.68% playoff chance

26. Jets (4-8): 1.73% playoff chance

25. Raiders (5-7): 2.5% playoff chance

24. Bears (4-8): 2.62% playoff chance

23. Bengals (5-6)

Syndication: The Enquirer

Playoff percentage: 6.25%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: at Jaguars

22. Chargers (4-7)

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 7.33%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: at Patriots

21. Bills (6-6)

Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 19.44%

Win Super Bowl: 1.14%

Next game: BYE

20. Buccaneers (4-7)

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 20.03%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: vs. Panthers

19. Rams (5-6)

Syndication: Arizona Republic

Playoff percentage: 30.04%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: vs. Browns

18. Broncos (6-5)

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 35.21%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: at Texans

17. Colts (6-5)

Syndication: The Indianapolis Star

Playoff percentage: 42.15%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: at Titans

16. Seahawks (6-5)

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 42.57%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: at Cowboys

15. Saints (5-6)

Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 46.07%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: vs. Lions

14. Texans (6-5)

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 46.95%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: vs. Broncos

13. Packers (5-6)

Syndication: Detroit Free Press

Playoff percentage: 48.06%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: vs. Chiefs

12. Falcons (5-6)

Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 53.43%

Win Super Bowl: <1%

Next game: at Jets

11. Vikings (6-6)

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 59.785%

Win Super Bowl: 1.28%

Next game: BYE

10. Browns (7-4)

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 68.925%

Win Super Bowl: 1.04%

Next game: at Rams

9. Steelers (7-4)

Syndication: The Enquirer

Playoff percentage: 76.28%

Win Super Bowl: 1.5%

Next game: vs. Cardinals

8. Lions (8-3)

Syndication: Detroit Free Press

Playoff percentage: 96.64%

Win Super Bowl: 4.63%

Next game: at Saints

7. Dolphins (8-3)

Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 96.9%

Win Super Bowl: 9.93%

Next game: at Commanders

6. Jaguars (8-3)

Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 97.615%

Win Super Bowl: 5.56%

Next game: vs. Bengals

5. Cowboys (8-3)

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 98.37%

Win Super Bowl: 6.88%

Next game: vs. Seahawks

4. Ravens (9-3)

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 98.745%

Win Super Bowl: 12.2%

Next game: BYE

3. Chiefs (8-3)

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 98.9%

Win Super Bowl: 14.82%

Next game: at Packers

2. 49ers (8-3)

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 99.415%

Win Super Bowl: 17.27%

Next game: at Eagles

1. Eagles (10-1)

Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Playoff percentage: 99.75%

Win Super Bowl: 20.51%

Next game: vs. Niners

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