New chip industry roadmap predicts true 10 nm silicon won't arrive until 2039 and yet Moore's Law is, actually, alive and kicking

Intel 18A wafer.

Contrary to numerous pessimistic prognostications over recent years, including by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Moore's Law is very much alive and kicking. That's the take-home according to a new roadmap from chip production research and engineering outfit IMEC. In fact, if IMEC's roadmap is accurate, we already have a good idea how chip manufacturing is going to advance right through to 2039 and the 0.2 nm node.

Before we go any further, and as is always the case with Moore's Law, the usual caveats apply. First, Moore's Law isn't a fundamental law of nature. It's an observation of what's happened in the past , projected into the future.