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Gabrielle Olya

Most Americans Expect Lower Tax Refunds in 2026 — but Here’s Why Many Will Get More

NoDerog / Getty Images/iStockphoto

Many Americans are bracing for smaller tax refunds this year, but that pessimism may be misplaced. Although 52% of Americans expect to receive a refund, only 35% believe it will be bigger than last year’s, according to a recent Intuit TurboTax survey. The reality is that thanks to new tax changes taking effect, many filers may actually see larger refunds or owe less.

Find Out: How Boomers Can Claim a $6,000 Extra Deduction This Year

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