Data: Cook Political Report. (In new districts with no incumbent, Cook lists the "incumbent party" based on the district's estimated Partisan Voter Index score.) Table: Simran Parwani/Axios
The midterm outlook for House Democrats is so bleak that even members in districts President Biden won by 10 to 15 points are in danger of losing their seats, according to election experts.
Driving the news: The Cook Political Report just revised its fall House forecast to a net Republican gain of 20 to 35 seats. Cook shifted 10 races in Republicans' direction and two toward Democrats, with 35 D-held seats now labeled "tossup" or worse.